According to AccuWeather, the Lakes District can expect a “very warm summer” due to a more persistent ridge of high pressure across the region.
The combination of warmer than normal waters off the west coast and a drier ground will enhance the warming. The average high during the middle of summer in Burns Lake is about 20-21 C.
“I expect temperatures to average around 2 C above normal this summer, with a higher number of days above 30 C compared to normal,” said Brett Anderson, Senior Meteorologist for AccuWeather.
When it comes to precipitation, the Lakes District is in the “near-normal” rainfall category. Burns Lake averages about 136 mm of rain from June through August.
“Based on what I see at this time I would favour anywhere from 90-140 mm of rain this summer,” said Anderson.
More specifically, AccuWeather expects drier than normal conditions during the second half of the summer in the Lakes District, while the first half will have average rainfall.
The unusually warm winter of 2014-2015 in western Canada resulted in the survival of a large population of the pine beetle. The beetle has been causing tremendous damage to the western forests, making them more susceptible to devastating wildfires.
The prevalence of very warm to hot weather across much of western Canada this upcoming summer will favour an increase in thunderstorm activity, especially closer to the mountains, leading to an increased risk of flash flooding and lightning.
The Lakes District should see a fair share (near-normal amount) of thunderstorms during the afternoon hours this summer with plenty of instability due to the increasing heat at the surface.
“With more thunderstorms predicted in the mountains, the increase in dry lightning strikes will likely result in another active wildfire season,” said Anderson.